Wildfires Working Group

  • Dr. Jon Keeley, U.S. Geological Survey; UC Los Angeles
  • Thom Porter, CAL FIRE
  • Dr. Matt Rahn, San Diego State University
  • Dr. Alexandra Syphard, Conservation Biology Institute
  • Dr. Anthony LeRoy Westerling, UC Merced

Wildfires References

Brown, T.J., B.L. Hall, and A.L. Westerling, 2004: The Impact of Twenty-First Century Climate Change on Wildland Fire Danger in the Western United States: An Applications PerspectiveClimatic Change,62, 365-388.

Bryant, B. and A. Westerling, 2009: Potential effects of climate change on residential wildfire risk in CaliforniaA paper from the California Climate Change Center. Publication number: CEC-500-2009-048-D. 25 pp + Appendices, California Energy Commission, California Environmental Protection Agency.

Gude, P.H., J.A. Cookson, M.C. Greenwood, and M. Haggerty: Homes in Wildfire-Prone Areas: An Empirical Analysis of Wildfire Suppression Costs and Climate ChangeA peer reviewed paper in preparation for journal submission from Headwater Economics. 22 pp, Headwater Economics.

Headwater Economics, 2009: Solutions to the rising costs of fighting fires in the wildland-urban interfaceA White paper from Headwater Economics. 63 pp, Headwater Economics.

Keeley, J.E. and P.H. Zedler, 2009: Large, high-intensity fire events in southern California shrublands: debunking the fine-grain age patch modelEcological Applications19, 69-94.

Keeley, J.E., A.D. Syphard, and C.J. Fotheringham: The 2003 and 2007 Wildfires in Southern California.Natural Disasters and Adaptation to Climate Change, 42-52.

Miller, N.L. and N.J. Schlegel, 2006: Climate change-projected Santa Ana fire weather occurrence. A White paper from the California Energy Commission's California Climate Change Center. Publication number: CEC-500-2005-204-SF. 11 pp, California Energy Commission, California Environmental Protection Agency.

Minnich, R.A. and E. Franco-Vizcaino, 2009: A probabilistic view of chaparral and forest fire regimes in southern California and northern Baja CaliforniaDevelopments in Environmental Science8, 339-364, doi:10.1016/S1474-8177(08)00016-8.

Rahn, M., 2009: Wildfire Impact AnalysisFire Impact Analysis, 1-15.

San Diego Institute for Policy Research, 2007: Economic costs of the October 2007 fires to San Diego County exceed $2 billionA Policy Brief from the San Diego Institute for Policy Research. 2 pp, San Diego Institute for Policy Research.

Syphard, A.D. , J.E. Keeley, A.B. Massada, T.J. Brennan, and V.C. Radeloff, 2012: Housing arrangement and location determine the likelihood of housing loss due to wildfire. PLoS ONE, 7, 1-13, doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0033954.

Syphard, A.D., A.B. Massada, V. Butsic, and J.E. Keeley, 2013: Land Use Planning and Wildfire: Development Policies Influence Future Probability of Housing Loss. PLoS ONE, 8, 1-12, doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0071708.

Syphard, A.D., V.C. Radeloff, N.S. Keuler, R.S. Taylor, T.J. Hawbaker, S.I. Stewart, and M.K. Clayton, 2008:Predicting spatial patterns of fire on a southern California landscapeInternational Journal of Wildland Fire17, 602-613, doi: 10.1071/WF07087.