Ryan Ratcliff

Ryan Ratcliff
Phone: (619) 260-7560
Office: Olin Hall 211

Associate Professor of Economics

  • PhD, University of California, Berkeley, Economics
  • AB, Stanford University, International Relations and Economics

Ryan Ratcliff is an associate professor of economics, specializing in forecasting, macroeconomics and financial economics. His research interests include the formation and updating of macroeconomic expectations, linkages between financial markets and the macroeconomy, state and regional economic forecasting and the macroeconomic impact of housing cycles.

Prior to coming to USD, Ratcliff spent three years at the renowned UCLA Anderson Forecast, where he was the primary author of the quarterly forecast for California, as well as numerous other reports on local economic forecasts and regional housing markets. He has also worked in market research and applications development at the Franklin-Templeton family of mutual funds, as a market analyst on the U.S. Treasury’s Mexico Task Force and as a compliance researcher at the Frankfurt headquarters of Deutsche Bank.

Areas of Expertise

macroeconomics, financial economics, local and national economy (job growth, recession), forecasting, financial markets/mutual funds

Selected Publications

  • Ratcliff, R. (2008) Inventory Indigestion: The Short Sale Problem, UCLA Anderson Forecast, 57, 99-105.
  • Ratcliff, R., Doshi, K. (2016) Using the Bass Model to Analyze the Diffusion of Innovations at the Base of the Pyramid, Business & Society, 55(2), 271-298.
  • Ratcliff, R. (2013) Relative Options Prices and Risk-Neutral Skew as Predictors of Index Returns, Journal of Derivatives, 21(2), 89-105.
  • Ratcliff, R. (2013) The “Probability of Recession”: Evaluating Probabilistic and Non-Probabilistic Forecasts from Probit Models of U.S. Recessions, Economics Letters, 121(2), 311-315.
  • Custin, R., O'Connor-Ratcliff, M., Ratcliff, R. (2013) The Mensing Conundrum: Litigating Generic Drug Injuries in California (Featured Article), California Business Practice(2), http://www.calpractice.co.