Ryan Ratcliff

Assistant Professor of Economics
Ryan Ratcliff
(619) 260-7560
Office Location
Olin Hall 211
  • Ph.D. University of California, Berkeley, Economics
  • A.B. Stanford University, International Relations and Economics
Areas of Expertise

Selected Publications

  • The Outlook for the San Diego Economy: 2011-13
  • Inventory Indigestion: The Short Sale Problem
  • Relative Options Prices and Risk-Neutral Skew as Predictors of Index Returns
  • The “Probability of Recession”: Evaluating Probabilistic and Non-Probabilistic Forecasts from Probit Models of U.S. Recessions
  • The Mensing Conundrum: Litigating Generic Drug Injuries in California (Featured Article)


Ryan Ratcliff joined the faculty of the University of San Diego in 2008 as an assistant professor specializing in forecasting and macroeconomics. His research interests include the formation and updating of macroeconomic expectations, linkages between financial markets and the macroeconomy, state and regional economic forecasting, and the macroeconomic impact of housing cycles.

Prior to coming to USD, Professor Ratcliff spent three years at the renowned UCLA Anderson Forecast, where he was the primary author of the quarterly forecast for California, as well as numerous other reports on local economic forecasts and regional housing markets. He is widely quoted in the national and local press as an expert on the California economy and local housing markets, and is a sought-after speaker for briefing local business leaders on recent economic developments.

Professor Ratcliff has also worked in market research and applications development at the Franklin-Templeton family of mutual funds, as a market analyst on…