Ryan Ratcliff

Assistant Professor of Economics

Ph.D. University of California, Berkeley, Economics
A.B. Stanford University, International Relations and Economics

Ryan Ratcliff joined the faculty of the University of San Diego in 2008 as an assistant professor specializing in forecasting and macroeconomics. His research interests include the formation and updating of macroeconomic expectations, linkages between financial markets and the macroeconomy, state and regional economic forecasting, and the macroeconomic impact of housing cycles.

Prior to coming to USD, Professor Ratcliff spent three years at the renowned UCLA Anderson Forecast, where he was the primary author of the quarterly forecast for California, as well as numerous other reports on local economic forecasts and regional housing markets. He is widely quoted in the national and local press as an expert on the California economy and local housing markets, and is a sought-after speaker for briefing local business leaders on recent economic developments.

Professor Ratcliff has also worked in market research and applications development at the Franklin-Templeton family of mutual funds, as a market analyst on the U.S. Treasury’s Mexico Task Force, and as a compliance researcher at the Frankfurt headquarters of Deutsche Bank.

Selected Current Research

Journal Article, Academic Journal

Ratcliff, R. (2010). Predicting Nominal Exchange Rate Movements Using Skewness Information from Options Prices. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 15 (1), 75-92.

Ratcliff, R., Doshi, K. Using the Bass Model to Analyze the Diffusion of Innovations at the Base of the Pyramid. Business & Society

Broadcast Media

Ratcliff, R. (2008). San Diego People. KUSI

Newspaper

Ratcliff, R. (2010). Expert Insights: Economic Outlook. San Diego Daily Transcript

Ratcliff, R. (2009). No Silver Bullets. San Diego Union Tribune

Ratcliff, R. (2008). Short-sale Listings Create a Strange Market Dynamic. San Diego Union Tribune

Research Report

Ratcliff, R., Gin, A. (2011). The Outlook for the San Diego Economy: 2011-13. UCLA Anderson Forecast

Ratcliff, R. (2008). Inventory Indigestion: The Short Sale Problem. UCLA Anderson Forecast, 57